Tunisia vs. Japan - Total Corners

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket has this contract at **4% YES**, which means the market is pricing only a very small chance that Tunisia v Japan finishes inside the corner total specified by the contract. On Polymarket, traders are not betting directly on the football match itself but on a **conditional token** settled in **USDC** on **Polygon**, so the price reflects what participants think will be verified at resolution rather than the headline scoreline.

That low price fits the sort of context corners markets often get in matches where one side is expected to control territory without necessarily creating a huge set-piece count. Japan and Tunisia are meeting in the World Cup group stage, and comparable pre-match notes have pointed to both teams tending towards relatively restrained corner numbers, with Tunisia described as going under 10.5 corners in four recent matches in one pregame preview[6]. Historical framing also matters: this is the **1,000th FIFA World Cup match**[1][3], and the sides have met six times before, with Japan winning the only World Cup head-to-head in 2002[4].

For a Polymarket trader, the key catalysts are the final team news, the confirmed starting XIs and any late tactical shifts, because corners are heavily driven by wide play, pressure and game state rather than reputation alone. Tunisia’s need for a result has been highlighted in live coverage, which can push them to attack more aggressively if they fall behind, while Japan have been described as the stronger side in some pre-match reporting[2]. The contract resolves at the scheduled settlement window, so the practical watchpoints are any pre-kickoff injury updates, line-up surprises and whether either team’s approach changes materially once the match begins[1][5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Tunisia vs. Japan - Total Corners on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?

Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.