Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Simona Waltert Set 1 Winner | 100% Marcinko | 0% Waltert |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Simona Waltert Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Simona Waltert Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Simona Waltert Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Simona Waltert | 100% Petra Marcinko | 0% Simona Waltert |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of lexus eastbourne open, qualification: petra marcinko vs simona waltert. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Petra Marcinko and Simona Waltert in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Petra Marcinko… on Polymarket UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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