Norway vs. Senegal - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket’s contract on **Norway vs Senegal – Exact Score** is trading at an implied **8% YES**, which suggests the market is assigning a low but non-trivial chance to the listed scoreline being the regulation-time result. On Polymarket, that price reflects the crowd’s view of a conditional token settling in USDC on Polygon, with the outcome determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties do not count. The match is scheduled for June 22 at 8:00 PM ET at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey, with FIFA listing kick-off at 00:00 UTC on 23 June.[1][3][4]

That kind of price is typical for exact-score markets, where the “Any Other Score” bucket usually captures the many more common scorelines than the one being offered. The head-to-head sample is tiny — AiScore lists just one prior meeting, won by Senegal 2-1 — so there is limited historical basis for treating any single score as especially likely.[6] More broadly, World Cup group-stage matches often settle into low-scoring patterns, but exact-score contracts still tend to concentrate value around a few plausible results rather than the full set of possibilities.[1]

Traders should watch late team-news, official line-ups, and any schedule changes, because exact-score pricing can move sharply once starting XIs are confirmed and match context becomes clearer. FIFA’s match centre and the stadium event listing both confirm the fixture details, while pre-match training clips and team updates indicate both sides are in final preparation.[2][3][4][5] With settlement based on the officially recorded score at full time, any postponement, abandonment, or rescheduling would matter directly for how the contract resolves.[3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?

Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.